The Bigger, the Better: Coalitions in the GATT/WTO

Brazilian Political Science Review

Endereço:
Avenida Professor Luciano Gualberto, 315 - Cidade Universitária
São Paulo / SP
Site: https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/
Telefone: (11) 3091-3780
ISSN: 19813821
Editor Chefe: Adrian Gurza Lavalle
Início Publicação: 31/12/2006
Periodicidade: Quadrimestral
Área de Estudo: Ciência política

The Bigger, the Better: Coalitions in the GATT/WTO

Ano: 2012 | Volume: 6 | Número: 2
Autores: Gabriel Cepaluni, Manoel Galdino, Amâncio Jorge de Oliveira
Autor Correspondente: Gabriel Cepaluni | [email protected]

Palavras-chave: International coalitions, bayesian analysis, multilateralism, economic openess, international negotiations

Resumos Cadastrados

Resumo Inglês:

What does it take to make a coalition successful? Bigger coa - litions are more likely to be successful because the GATT/WTO is a consen - sus-based institution and countries are informally penalized if they isolate them - selves. Through a Bayesian statistical analysis, the article corroborates the above hypothesis. To further investigate the research question, qualitative case studies of the G-10 in the Uruguay Round and the Public Health Coalition in the Doha Round are conducted. These cases show that the more convincing the framing of a position, the better are the chances of coalitions keeping a large number of followers and supporters, thereby affecting their odds of success. By building a unique database and applying a new research design to the topic, the study rigor - ously tests theories about coalitions that had previously only been proposed but not empirically analyzed.